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Sunday, December 4, 2011

Stock analysis: HEXA.JK (Hexindo Adiperkasa)

Fundamental analysis of stock HEXA.JK

HEXA.JK stock showed an excellent performance and continuously for 5 consecutive years. EPS (earnings per share) always go up. On the revenue (sales) for 5 consecutive years also continued to rise. Operating profit also rose to suggest that EPS increase is sustained by its core business. The profits generated each year is always above 20% of the capital. It can be seen from the ROE (return on equity). While the ratio of debt to equity rather large.  Average over 1 (one) time the capital. This may be because the HEXA.JK sector is in trade business so that debt is still a category of trade payables and current debts. Overall, the performance of  HEXA.JK stock is very tempting.
Fundamental performance of HEXA.JK stock (Hexindo Adiperkasa)
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Q3 A A A A
Growth of EPS +61% +44% +20% +354% +25%
Growth of revenue (sales) +22% +57% +13% +61% +31%
Growth of operating profit +42% +30% n/a n/a n/a
ROE (return on equity) +21% +26% +25% +42% n/a
DER (debt to equity ratio) 1.11 0.97 1.46 2.00 n/a
Notes:        A = Annualize        Q3 = 3th quarter

Technical analysis os HEXA.JK stock

Technically, the stock prices of  HEXA.JK  on a weekly basis to form the pattern of cup with handle. This is a common pattern for stocks tough. The pattern formed due the uptrend of HEXA.JK stock obstruction by shock on regional stock market. Already there are visible signs of HEXA.JK stocks poised to rise. Observe the movement of the stock HEXA.JK. When the price has traded around buy point (8800), and if at that time quite crowded trade (volume increase), get ready to buy. You can sell when the price increase was 20% from buy point. You can also sell part of it and hold some more while looking at the increase. Sometimes (often) the stock can go up tough-fold in just a short time.

Thursday, December 1, 2011

Stock analysys BWPT.JK (BW Plantation)

Fundamental Analysis of Stocks BWPT.JK


BWPT.JK stock performance during the last three years (until the third quarter 2011) show a fairly good growth. EPS is always growing, and in 2011 grew sharply by 65%. On the sales (revenue) is also always had passed. Operating profit also rose with the increase in EPS. This shows that the profit earned is a result of its core business. Return on equity (ROE) quite well, although this year has not reached 20%. Only in the ratio of debt to equity tends to increase (tends to decrease is better, so that the  interest expense will be smaller).
2011 2010 2009
 Q3  Annual  Annual
Growth of EPS 65% 19% 24%
Growth of revenue 58% 22% 14%
Growth of operating profit 69% 43% n/a
ROE (return on equity) 18% 22% 19%
DER (debt to equity ratio) 1.51 1.35 0.79
Overall, fundamental performance of BWPT.JK stock is pretty good.

Stock Technical Analysis BWPT.JK

Technically, BWPT.JK stock chart pattern forming the letter W (double buttom). The pattern formed during nearly 11 months. There were sign of going through resistence price (break out)

Thursday, October 13, 2011

Stock analysis: SMSM.JK poised to fly

PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk (stock code=SMSM.JK) is the flagship of the ADR Group (Automotive Division) and is currently one of the largest manufacturers of filters and radiators in the field. The company manufactures filters, radiators, oil coolers, condensers, brake pipes, fuel pipes, fuel tanks, exhaust systems, and the press. SMSM.JK has been registered since 1996, in the Indonesia Stock Exchange.


Fundamental analysis
                     
SMSM.JK - PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk

2011
Q3
2010
A
2009
A
2008
A
2007
A



1. Growth of EPS
+45%
+13%+44%+14%+21%
2. Growth of income (sales)
+17%
+14%+1%+27%+20%
3. Growth of operating income
+38%
+20%n/an/an/a
4. Return On Equity (ROE)
22%
29%27%17%17%
5. Dept to Equity Ration (DER)
0.65
1.060.800.700.65
















PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk fundamentally shows a strong and stable performance. EPS is always up in 5 consecutive years in a row until the third quarter of 201. Revenue (sales) also increased each year. Operating income is high enough to show that profits are the result of its core business. Net income to capital in the last three years surpassed the figure of 20%. While the ratio of debt to capital (debt to equity ratio) is quite stable despite the above figure 0.50. Generally Good Excellent performance is quite convincing and robust, allowing companies to conduct business expansion.


Technical analysis



Technically, the chart pattern forming SMSM.JK is cup with handle. Consolidation in the cup formed the basis for over a year. The handle region is also experiencing consolidation for several weeks. Already there are signs of prices going through the resistance (resistant). But hampered by the general market situation experienced the shock of the crisis in Europe resulting SMSM.JK stock prices still have not managed menembuas prisoner. Observe the movement of stocks SMSM.JK, and when it is traded in the IDR 1410 reference price purchase (price resistance) and when the trade was crowded, do the purchase. You can sell part or in full if the price has moved up 20% of purchasing the reference price. SMSM.JK shares is one of CANSLIM 2011 stock.


Wednesday, October 5, 2011

Stock market. Have downfall reach "bottom"?

Stock market. Have downfall reach "bottom"? We still remembered how the stock market collapse that began in October 2007. Investors suffered heavy losses (including me hehe). Could it be we can learn from the events of 2007's? Let us recall the events of 2007. Exposure in the stock market was started in June 2007. Case breakdown of credit in the housing sector in the United States, better known by Suprime Morgage started sticking. This makes the Dow Jones index of 14,121 fell approximately 11.8% in just 2 weeks. But market players still alert and consider the issue of Suprime Morgage only temporary. This makes the Dow Jones index back up for 2 weeks later and even reached a new high at 14,279. But the domino effect of Suprime Morgage began to be felt. The first one affected is the financial sector that directly distribute Suprime Morgage. There is bankrupt, there is a big loss. We could call the Bank of Amerca, Citibank, Merryl Linch and more. Domino effect is also a chain to issue debt in several countries. Call it the Spanish, and Greek.This causes the stock market really crashing sharply during the period of almost 1.5 years. Dow Jones discounted more than 50%. United States Government under President George Bush to be preparing a bailout nearly 2,000 billion dollars in order to calm the situation.
Grafik indeks Dow Jones saat bursa saham terjatuh dimasa bearish tahun 2007 hingga pertengahan 2009
Beginning in May 2011, the Dow Jones back choking. A variety of fundamental issues in the United States re-create the Dow Jones slumped. For about 6 months, the Dow Joneshas bounced more than 18%.  
Grafik indeks Dow Jones saat bursa saham mulai terjatuh di bulan Mei 2011
The condition causes may be different this time. Economic situation of various states also may have been another. But the behavior of stock market players remains the same. Euphoria when stock market rose replied. Scampered (panic) when stock market fell dramatically. Conditions domino effect also occurs due to margin calls (demands injection of funds to clients that using borrowed money from security companies)  
Perbandingan melalui grafik Dow Jones tentang kejatuhan bursa saham tahun 2007 dibanding kejatuhan bursa saham tahun 2011
Whatever people's comments on the stock exchange about the current situation, the graph can always give enough perspective. I deliberately compare the picture above to showthat the most likely decline will continue. The extent to which the decline will happen, let the stock market itself (via the graph) which gives out. For those who are still inside, safe exercise heart. For those who are outside the stock exchange (already sell or liquidate all its shares), Please enjoy your first outing. On thestock exchange is always true "summer day a year removed by rain in a day".

Thursday, June 23, 2011

About

CAN SLIM - Acronym

CAN SLIM ®
Acronym for William J. O'Neil's investment strategy. CAN SLIM® is based on the seven common characteristics found in his study of the greatest stock market winners of the last 45 years. A thorough discussion of CAN SLIM® can be found in William J. O'Neil's book, How to Make Money in Stocks.

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